- Nov 24, 2009
- Reaction score
- San Francisco
- Political Leaning
Excerpted from “A Turning Point For Democrats? IT'S TOO EARLY TO SAY FOR SURE, BUT IT'S POSSIBLE THAT THE REPUBLICAN WAVE HAS SUBSIDED.” by Charlie Cook, The National Journal Magazine, Saturday, July 31, 2010
[SIZE="+2"]F[/SIZE]or the weeks of July 12-18 and July 19-25, the Gallup Organization's weekly aggregation of daily tracking polls showed Democrats ahead among all registered voters on the generic congressional ballot test question by 6 points (49 percent to 43 percent) and 4 points (48 percent to 44 percent), respectively. …
Gallup noted that this was the first time that either party has held an advantage of this size for two consecutive weeks. In the 21 weeks that Gallup has asked the generic ballot test question this year, the two parties have averaged a tie. …
What we are looking for is whether either party breaks out of that range [49 percent to 43 percent] and begins to consistently record an advantage, with "consistently" certainly defined as more than two weeks in a row. …
For now, people will have to just sit tight, wait for next week's Gallup release, and watch how other reputable pollsters weigh in.
The headline asks the question, is this a turning point for Democrats? Well, is it, punk? … I mean … What do you think, a turning point?
Excerpted from “Democrats Maintain Advantage on Generic Ballot, 48% to 44%; Republicans continue to be more enthusiastic about voting” by Frank Newport, GALLUP, July 26, 2010
[SIZE="+2"]D[/SIZE]emocrats have a 48% to 44% advantage for the week of July 19-25 in Gallup tracking of registered voters' preferences for the 2010 congressional elections. This marks the second straight week in which Democrats have held an edge of at least four percentage points.
Although Republicans have moved to a four-point or higher advantage on three separate occasions, this is the first time either party has held an advantage of that size for two consecutive weeks. Republicans and Democrats have been tied on average across the 21 weeks of Gallup's tracking.