- Oct 4, 2011
- Reaction score
- Political Leaning
New England has brown outs every year due to not being able to keep up with electricity demands. Just heard on NPR today how ALL of the west is going to have rolling black outs during peak times this summer due to decreased hydro generation, and increasing demand.Bullshit.
Necessity is the mother of invention and the scenario you describe is unrealistic in the extreme.
Yes they would indeed be flying out of the showrooms all over the country, but STILL NOT at a rate that would equal the hysterical calamity you describe, which sounds like
"I woke up this morning and suddenly eighty million EV's were all stuck on the main drag outside my house with dead batteries"...all in the space of 24 hours!
Yeah, cars people like and can afford sell quickly but not as quickly as you make it sound.
They would enjoy the kind of sales any popular car enjoys, and the electric grid would expand in accordance with the various infrastructure bills that are being proposed, and
industry lobbyists would see to it that the right arms got twisted to make entreprenurial history.
And by the way, you may have missed the memo about the Salton Sea, which is now being referred to as "The Saudi Arabia of Lithium".
Also, battery technology is not trapped in amber like a prehistoric bug, it's a fast moving field with new developments popping up almost every week.
Lithium may be the coin of the realm right now but it's never going to be "THE LAST" one.
Making electricity from chemical reactions is a very wide field...for a very good reason.
Again, necessity is the mother of invention, and Musk is by far NOT the only individual investing in EV technology, which sort of pops holes in the luddite doom and gloom predictions
you're setting forth.
And even if HE can't deliver, that doesn't mean others won't.
If it kills HIS business it will be because he preferred selling expensive playthings instead of selling affordable cars, not because it wasn't possible.
Now, imagine that, WITH, let's say, 30% increase in EV ownership. That's like 30% of households buying an extra AC unit, and running it 16 hours per day, everyday, in addition to current electricity draw.