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It turns out it's true. Two studies just came out, each looking into the question from a completely different perspective, and each pointing to the same conclusion: that it crossed over from animals to humans at that market.WADR you are way out in left field thinking it more likely occurred naturally and it just coincidentally showed up at a wet market within 1 mile of a lab that specializes in that type of research. You have a better shot at winning the lottery than that turning out to be true.
Science | AAAS
www.science.org
Studies find more evidence of Covid’s wildlife origin from Wuhan ‘wet market’
‘Pandemic likely arose from at least two separate infections of humans from animals at the Huanan market,’ scientists say
www.independent.co.uk
This is, of course, hugely frustrating to the Trumpists, since their Dear Leader pushed the "yellow peril" idea that it was a lab leak. But none of the evidence is consistent with that theory. "All eight COVID-19 cases detected prior to 20 December were from the western side of the market, where mammal species were also sold." The only early cases that weren't from people who spent time at those particular stalls were also people who lived or worked near the market. This is an indication that the virus first hit humans among people who worked at the market, "but then started that spread … into the surrounding local community as vendors went into local shops, infected people who worked in those shops."
The other study used a molecular clock approach and found that the first jump of the virus from animals to humans happened around November 18, 2019, with a lineage of the virus found only in people who had a direct connection to the Huanan market. In other words, the oldest version of COVID we have evidence of had only recently become a human virus, and shows up nowhere other than people connected to the market... only after that did the virus branch out into new lineages that infected people more broadly.
None of that is what we'd expect to see if a lab worker inadvertently transported it into the world. Then we'd expect to see that the earliest cases were among lab workers and their close contacts. That is, for example, what was found in Marburg back when the Marburg outbreak occurred in Germany from a lab leak there.
The only way to make this evidence fit with the lab-leak hypothesis is to imagine that the virus had only recently been bred in the lab, and then immediately gave a lab worker an asymptomatic infection, then he headed cross town and happened to infect some people at that market (AND NOBODY ELSE), and then those market workers/customers spread it more widely. We can't disprove that with 100% certainty, but it's wildly unlikely, and is a textbook case for Occam's razor.
I understand that you were very emotionally attached to the lab leak hypothesis, for strictly political reasons. But what you need to ask yourself is whether the facts have any role in your beliefs. Does it matter to you that the evidence is entirely consistent with what we'd expect if it was an animal-to-human transmission from animals being sold at a local market. Does it matter to you that the evidence is entirely inconsistent with what we'd expect to see if it was a bug kept in a lab that was accidentally released? I think that answer is no -- that, since you're a conservative, the facts have absolutely no weight in your decision about which positions you'll adopt. But I hope you prove me wrong.