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Recent content by bbert1994
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Update: Bredesen Polling Average Moves TN race to Lean Democratic
NOTE: I use a variety of mathematical and statistical models using past data, demographics, voter statistics etc. using government data and official voter rolls to determine electorate patterns. No forecasts use bias. Polling firm ratings compliments and credits of FiveThirtyEight. Former TN... -
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Senate prediction update: 4 states move left; tx moves right
Update to answer your questions. I use statistical analysis based on past elections, the demographics, and the national voting trend. For Florida, it is a bit tricky... Scott barely won two governor races in years that the GOP did strong (2010 & 2014). Adding to the fact, both Democratic... -
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Senate prediction update: 4 states move left; tx moves right
As an update to my last posting: I have moved the following, PENNSYLVANIA - Casey - Likely Dem to Safe Dem OHIO - Brown - Lean Dem to Likely Dem WISCONSIN - Baldwin - Lean Dem to Likely Dem WEST VIRGINIA - Manchin - Tossup to Leans Dem TEXAS - Cruz - Lean Rep to Likely Rep The main reason for... -
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Why was it OK to let Merrick Garland's judicial consideration expire but push Kavanaugh through?
Mitch McConnell is asking Democratic members of Congress to treat Brett Kavanaugh "FAIRLY." OK, so you are saying it is alright to PURPOSELY let a nomination expire without ANY consideration for Judge Merrick Garland, but they are supposed to treat Kavanaugh fairly... Please, let the hypocrisy... -
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The Nobel Committee would be making a mistake by giving Trump the Peace Prize
This is not to discredit the U.S. interests in enhancing diplomatic ties between the Korea's, but for people to say its time to nominate Donald Trump for the prize? Seriously? It hasn't been more than a week since North and South Korea met for their summit and Republican's in the House are... -
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There is only one way for the GOP to salvage itself: choose another candidate in 2020
As a former member of the Republican Party, I have two words of advise for them in 2020... dump Trump. He is the reason I left the party in the first place, and I thought to myself, maybe the rest of the party will finally realize this man is a complete fool and support someone else in the 2020... -
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Democrats must be VERY careful in their quest to elect more progressives
Whether its Bernie Sanders or Elizabeth Warren, there is certainly momentum for progressive politicians. In fact, Bernie Sanders, a self-proclaimed Democratic socialist (no, not socialism as you know it), put up a decent fight against Hillary Clinton in the Democratic primary. Energizing... -
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2018 SENATE MAP - Predictions
ARIZONA - (Jeff Flake, R) TOSSUP- Sen. Jeff Flake is retiring, opening an opportunity for the GOP to keep control of the seat as Flake remains very unpopular. Popular Rep. Martha McSally leads the pack of Republicans in polling, but not far behind is conservative firebrand Kelli Ward, who nearly... -
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Scott Pruitt has ruined the EPA
Scott Pruitt has destroyed the EPA as scientists feel useless Scott Pruitt is no fan of scientific based evidence. I think it was clear after he updated the EPA's climate change page to "this page is being updated." Years of scientific based research has been eliminated to reflect the views of... -
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Why the GOP is getting the issue of gun control all wrong
I appreciate your response to my post. Let me follow up on a few things: If Thomas Jefferson or James Madison went to the streets of Chicago today, I am sure they would see that something needs to be done. We are suffering an epidemic that has seen thousands of deaths each year across America... -
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Why the GOP is getting the issue of gun control all wrong
Though it is not entirely true, many American's view the Republican party as protectors of the second amendment, and Democrats as traitors. But historically speaking, it was the Democratic party that fought arduously to protect it. And they still do today. The point being, guns manufactured... -
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Conor Lamb's surprise upset in Trump Country proves the map for the GOP is going to be rocky terrain
Rep. elect Conor Lamb's upset victory over Trump backed Rick Saccone has caused alarm bells at the RNC to go off. Though the GOP attempt to discredit the victory by mentioning his political positions, the fact of the matter is that they are in trouble, and they know it. Breaking down the numbers... -
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Trump loves conspiracy theories, and uses them as a political motive
Donald Trump loves conspiracy theories. A lot. Enough that he is using them towards his political agenda. The only thing is, they are not proven true. Most of us remember Mr. Trump's outrageous accusation that President Barack Obama was born in Kenya and that his birth certificate and US... -
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I was a proud Republican, now I'm a proud Democrat thanks to Trump
After a long campaign season, I was scared the morning that America found out that Donald J. Trump was elected president of our country -to be the leader of the free world. Was I fan of Hillary Clinton? Yes, but with reservations; it didn't begin that way, though. I was an early supporter of...